A shares are slow! A50ETF Huabao (159596) closed up by 0.9%, and eight of the top ten stocks rose. On December 10, the market opened sharply higher and then continued to fall. A50ETF Huabao (159596) closed up by 0.9%, with a turnover of 158 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, eight of the top ten awkward stocks rose. China Merchants Bank led the gains, while Kweichow Moutai, China Ping An and other stocks followed suit. Datong Securities pointed out that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's policy of steady growth next year exceeded expectations, and A-shares are expected to usher in a cross-grade market. Under the guidance of the two monetary policy tools of the central bank and a series of policies such as mergers and acquisitions and market value management of the CSRC, the stock market ushered in a reversal at the end of September. Driven by loose monetary policy and more active fiscal policy, the economic fundamentals will stabilize and rebound with high probability next year; In terms of funds, the entry of stabilization funds and more long-term patient capital into the market is also predictable, and the risk appetite and valuation of A shares will also be supported. Therefore, in 2025, A-share slow cattle can be expected.The yen fell to a low point against the US dollar since November 29, which cooled down around the expectation of the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates this month. As the market expected the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates this month, the yen fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since the end of November. The yen once fell 0.2% against the US dollar to 151.55. Overnight index swap pricing shows that the probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December is 28%.Xinhua Commentary: China's monetary policy has changed from "prudent" to "moderately loose" to send a positive signal. The commentary published by Xinhua News Agency on the 10th pointed out that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference held on the 9th analyzed and studied the economic work in 2025, in which the expression of monetary policy attracted people's attention. After a lapse of more than 10 years, the change of monetary policy orientation to "moderately loose" once again reflects the supportive monetary policy stance and sends a positive signal, which will strongly boost the confidence of all parties and help China's economy recover. The change of monetary policy is always closely related to a country's macroeconomic situation. This time, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party made it clear that the monetary policy will be "moderately loose" next year, not only because of the analysis and judgment of the current economic situation, but also because of the planning and consideration of the economic work next year. The timely adjustment of "loose is loose, tight is tight" will create a good monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth and high-quality development next year. From "steady" to "moderately loose", the change is the tightness of monetary policy, which is directly related to the blood of funds in the real economy. "Moderately loose" monetary policy means a reasonable money supply, a low interest rate and a relatively loose monetary and credit environment, which is conducive to further increasing financial support for key areas and weak links, guiding more funds to invest in scientific and technological innovation, people's livelihood consumption and other fields, promoting consumption and expanding investment, and better stimulating the endogenous motivation and innovation vitality of the whole society. From "steady" to "moderately loose", what remains unchanged is the supportive monetary policy stance. Since the beginning of this year, monetary policy has increased countercyclical adjustment in a timely manner. Although the tone of this year's monetary policy is "stable", on the whole, the monetary policy is flexible and moderate in implementation, and the market generally feels that China's monetary policy is in a stable and slightly loose state. The "moderately loose" monetary policy orientation next year can better reflect the "supportive" monetary policy stance. The combination of the two will further maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, reduce the comprehensive financing cost of enterprises and residents, and provide financial support for the sustained economic recovery. At present, the expected change has become an important factor affecting the economic operation, and it is helpful to guide the expectation to make clear the monetary policy orientation next year in time. Externally, the international environment will become more complicated and severe next year; Internally, China's development faces many uncertainties and challenges. At this point, clarifying the monetary policy for next year, responding to market concerns, and releasing a clear signal will help promote China's sustained economic recovery. (Xinhua News Agency)
President of China Investment Promotion Association: The digital service and service outsourcing industry will usher in rapid development. The 13th China International Service Outsourcing Fair (hereinafter referred to as Service Expo) was held in Wuhan on the 10th. Ma Xiuhong, president of China Council for the Promotion of International Investment, said at the meeting that with the accelerated innovation of artificial intelligence, big data, cloud services and other technologies, the scale of China's digital economy has greatly increased, and the digital service and service outsourcing industry will usher in a new stage of rapid development.The onshore RMB against the US dollar officially closed at 7.2493 at 16:30 Beijing time, up 267 points from the official closing price of the previous trading day and up 69 points from the closing price of the previous day and night.Australia's business confidence has fallen sharply, and the economic outlook is not optimistic. Australia's business confidence index fell sharply in November, and the current situation index measuring employment, sales and profitability has further weakened, once again indicating that the private sector in the economy is facing heavy pressure. According to a survey released by the National Bank of Australia on Tuesday, the business confidence index dropped by 8 points to -3, reversing the gains in October. The status quo index dropped from 7 to 2. "Overall, the survey shows that growth continued to be weak in the fourth quarter," the bank said in the report. As the capacity utilization rate is still above average, it may take more time for price pressure to fully return to normal. The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its last interest rate decision this year in a few hours, and it is almost certain that the policy interest rate will remain at a 13-year high of 4.35%. Last week's data showed that Australia's GDP was weak again in the third quarter, prompting traders to advance their expectations of interest rate cuts from May next year to April.
The yen fell to a low point against the US dollar since November 29, which cooled down around the expectation of the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates this month. As the market expected the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates this month, the yen fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since the end of November. The yen once fell 0.2% against the US dollar to 151.55. Overnight index swap pricing shows that the probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December is 28%.Yonhap News Agency: South Korea's defense intelligence commander was suspended.New quality productivity is still the core of policy orientation! Kechuang 100TF (588190) closed up 1.71%. On December 10th, Kechuang 100TF (588190) closed up 1.71%, with a turnover of 667 million yuan. The constituent stocks rose strongly, with Guo Dun Quantum up 6.19%, Siwei up 4.18%, and Hengxuan Technology, Ruichuang Micro-nano and Alice followed suit. Huajin Securities said that developing new quality productivity is still the main policy orientation. The meeting clearly put forward that "scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productivity", showing that the emerging industries related to the eight new quality productivity are still the main direction of the policy. From a short-term perspective, positive policies are expected to drive A-shares to start the New Year's market. First, from the molecular perspective, the meeting may raise the market's expectation of economic recovery: the meeting can expect to adjust fiscal and monetary easing next year and further economic recovery. In terms of liquidity, further easing of monetary policy is expected to rise.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13